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● Live · paper trading on the real Binance futures book

An AI trading lab, in public.

Every number on this page comes live from the running system. No real money is at risk, nothing here can place an order, and the losses stay on screen next to the wins.

Main account

$96.42

−$3.58 since the reset to $100 on 26 Sep

Council ledger

$9.09

600 trades, 47% won

AI ideas tested today

0

1,201,264 in total

Crash-bounce trial

$101.07

5 live trades

The main account

It holds Bitcoin, and waits.

After 800 hand-built tests found nothing that beat simply owning Bitcoin, the account does exactly that, with one rule: hold while BTC closes above its 200-day average, move to cash when it closes below. It is patient by design.

Holding BTC0.002 BTC, about 1.68× the balance (Binance’s $100 minimum order)

Equity

$96.42

Open P&L

−$3.58

BTC since entry

-1.78%

Bought at

$84,008

BTC now

$82,510

Funding paid

−$0.42

The rule, right now

Above the line

BTC last closed at $84,050, 15.5% above its 200-day average of $72,740. So the account stays in.

Experiments, side by side

Same trades, different rules.

Every page started at $100. The controls copy the council’s trades and change only one setting; the AI pages trade their own signals. So the gap between two lines is that one difference, nothing else.

  • The council$9.09
  • Control · busy markets only$22.64
  • Control · US hours after a big move$106.06
$115
$3
  1. 1Control · US hours after a big move

    same trades, weekdays 12-18 UTC after a 1%+ move

    80% won · 56 trades

    $106.06
  2. 2Axiom

    trades only when Oracle AI and Wisdom AI agree

    52% won · 178 trades

    $93.04
  3. 3Sophos

    trades only when three AIs agree

    53% won · 116 trades

    $91.22
  4. 4Council + Wisdom v2 + Noesis

    council trades neither objects to

    45% won · 256 trades

    $50.25
  5. 5Wisdom AI v2

    the same, reviewing its own record

    47% won · 422 trades

    $44.45
  6. 6Noesis v2

    the same, reviewing its own record

    49% won · 423 trades

    $42.85
  7. 7Council + Wisdom AI

    council trades Wisdom AI doesn't object to

    47% won · 363 trades

    $40.79
  8. 8Wisdom AI

    trading principles applied to the market

    46% won · 486 trades

    $35.55
  9. 9Council + Noesis

    council trades Noesis doesn't object to

    45% won · 312 trades

    $30.65
  10. 10Oracle AI

    follows the AI's reading of the news

    49% won · 331 trades

    $30.39
  11. 11Control · busy markets only

    same trades, small target, skips quiet markets

    68% won · 294 trades

    $22.64
  12. 12The council

    the AI council's own trades

    47% won · 600 trades

    $9.09
  13. 13Noesis

    news and principles in one AI judgement

    45% won · 514 trades

    $5.36

Watch-only strategies

Ideas on trial, in the open.

Each one tests a different way to make money, with fixed rules decided before it started. None is proven. Each shows its live result next to what its backtest promised.

Found by the AI

Crash bounce

Buys a coin after a sharp 24-hour drop with a volume spike, sells 4 hours later.

$101.07

5 live trades, 4 won

How it works

The first idea from the AI research engine that passed every check. Since then the engine re-judges live rules against a bar that rises with every idea tried, and this version now falls just short (t 3.4 against 4.2). It keeps trading here because only new data can settle it. $25 per coin, 4-hour hold, fees included.

Watch-only

BTC 2x trend

Holds twice its balance in BTC while BTC is above its 200-day average, cash otherwise.

$95.56

Holding 2x · -9.3% from its peak

How it works

Shows what leverage does, drops included. Backtest: 2024-26 +17.9%/yr against +17.5% for plain holding, worst drop -57%; 2020-23 +53.5%/yr, worst drop -92%.

Watch-only

Selling BTC options

Sells a one-week BTC straddle each Friday, hedged, when options look expensive.

+$62.79

Week of 2026-10-16: skipped

How it works

Options usually price bigger moves than happen. On 284 real weeks this made +0.26% a week in 2024-26 (worst week -5.2%), but with t 1.33 it could still be luck. Per 0.1 BTC per leg, Deribit prices, fees included.

Watch-only

Coinbase premium

Follows a sudden US buying or selling spike on Coinbase for 24 hours.

$95.33

Open: long

How it works

Before 2024 this made +50.4 bps a trade (t 3.56); since 2024 +14.9 (t 1.27), same direction but too weak to call proven.

Shadow

Evolving council

Breeds a new way to weigh the council's 28 agents every day, judged only on the next day.

-4.22 bps

per call · council -10.04 · always buying -5.98

How it works

Promotable only if it beats both the council and simply always buying, over at least 7 unseen days, with a t-score above 2. It never trades.

The AI research engine

Thousands of ideas a day. Almost all of them die.

An AI invents trading rules, a breeder evolves them, and THE CORE’s proof gate judges each on years of data it has never seen, across five worlds: crypto majors, the top 60 coins, every coin ever listed, order-book and news data, and stock and gold contracts.

Ideas judged

1,201,264

Today

0

Live candidates

6

groups of rules, one pattern each

Proof bar (t-score)

5.48

rises with every idea tried

Read how it works

Why ideas died

  • Loses money after fees448,620
  • Too rare to judge340,637
  • Stopped working on new data224,674
  • Could be luck among everything tried124,849
  • No better than doing nothing clever23,430
  • Fails with real-world costs20,287
  • One lucky day, not a pattern16,316

The AI council

Can it call direction? A public trial says so far: no.

A council of AI agents debates every candidate trade. On 14 Sep it went on a four-week public trial with the bar fixed in advance: right at least 52% of the time, with a t-score of 2. It now trades its own paper ledger, so its results never touch the main account.

Fair trial · 14 Sep to 12 Oct

49.5%

right on 12,046 calls · t-score 0.81

Needs 52% and t 2. Verdict: FAIL. If it fails, the council stays as the live AI demo and stops being expected to predict direction.

Right, day by day

  • 54%10-13
  • 56%10-14
  • 52%10-15
  • 49%10-16
  • 43%10-17
  • 52%10-18
  • 35%10-19

The dashed line is 50%, a coin flip. Green days beat it, red days fell short.

Under the hood

The plumbing, also in public.

Open positions on the main account

  • BTC/USD long$168.02 at $84,008−$3.00

Leverage in use

1.65×

Fall to liquidation

58%

how far prices would have to move

Exchange uptime

99.75%

78 ms typical

Liquidations since reset

0

Market data sources

  • binance futures94 ms
  • binance spot88 ms
  • coinbase273 ms
  • coingecko357 ms
  • frankfurter3022 ms
  • twelvedatadown

The trading engine reads real prices from the live Binance futures book and books every order on paper, with Binance’s real fees, funding and liquidation rules. The previous version of this page is still at /trading-classic.